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Cassidy Conaghan

Canada · 47 kg class · 5 meets since 2025

Best lifts

Squat
165.0
Bench
85.0
Deadlift
185.0

One side of a 20 kg bar, every disc drawn and coloured by weight, with the collar outermost. Career bests, which may come from different meets.

Peak

Score
123.54

99.9th percentile of scores that year

Heaviest total
435.0 kg

Independent of the score above, and possibly a different meet.

Career

On the strength landscape

What comparable lifters went on to do

From Cassidy Conaghan's last scored result, 123.1 on 12 Jun 2026:

  • Within 1 year: a middle outcome of 125.0, and 80% between 121.2 and 128.2. 43 of 46 comparable lifters competed again.
  • Within 2 years: No comparable group exists. The closest 52 athletes span ages 20-36 and scores 110.5-124.4, which is too wide to call a comparison.
  • Within 3 years: No comparable group exists. The 48 closest athletes topped out at 122.3, so none of them scored as high as this. Lifters at this level are too recent for the data to say what came next.
  • Within 5 years: No comparable group exists. The 62 closest athletes topped out at 122.2, so none of them scored as high as this. Lifters at this level are too recent for the data to say what came next.
  • Within 8 years: No comparable group exists. The 68 closest athletes topped out at 117.7, so none of them scored as high as this. Lifters at this level are too recent for the data to say what came next.

Each violet mark is the best score comparable lifters reached within that many years, applied to Cassidy Conaghan's last result: the bar is the middle half, the line the middle 80%. It describes lifters who competed again. Only the 3-year spacing has been checked against what actually happened; the others use the same method without that check.

Competing again

  • Within 1 year90%
  • Within 2 years94%
  • Within 3 years95%

The chance of another result, from how lifters in the same situation went on: results so far, time since the last one, age and score. It says nothing about this lifter’s own plans. As of 7 Sept 2026, from a last result on 12 Jun 2026.

Made the same way at the start of 2023 and checked a year later, the forecast ranked who came back well: a returner had the higher chance 85% of the time. Its level was off by 6 points on average — for the least likely tenth it said 5% and 2% came back; for the most likely it said 66% and 77% did.

Attempts

AttemptSquatBenchDeadliftAll lifts
First
100%
5 of 5 · 57%–100%
too few attempts to compare
100%
5 of 5 · 57%–100%
too few attempts to compare
100%
5 of 5 · 57%–100%
too few attempts to compare
100%
15 of 15 · 80%–100%
comparison 96%
Second
50%
2 of 4 · 15%–85%
too few attempts to compare
75%
3 of 4 · 30%–95%
too few attempts to compare
50%
2 of 4 · 15%–85%
too few attempts to compare
58%
7 of 12 · 32%–81%
comparison 89%
Third
75%
3 of 4 · 30%–95%
too few attempts to compare
50%
2 of 4 · 15%–85%
too few attempts to compare
100%
4 of 4 · 51%–100%
too few attempts to compare
75%
9 of 12 · 47%–91%
comparison 65%

Openers, as a share of the heaviest attempt made that day (median over meets):

  • Squat 94% · comparison 93% · 5 meets
  • Bench 93% · comparison 93% · 5 meets
  • Deadlift 89% · comparison 93% · 5 meets

Third attempts, against lifters who took the same jump:

  • Squat3/4
  • Bench2/4
  • Deadlift4/4
  • All lifts9/12

● share made · | expected for the jumps taken · box: the exact range luck alone gives 95% of the time. Violet is above that, red below.

Overall: 9 of 12 made, 6.7 expected. Best estimate once luck is allowed for: about 0.8 more than expected.

−40−200+20+4013103060+third attempts takenmade vs expected (% pts)better than luck explainsworse than luck explains+19 pts · 12 thirds
The ringed dot is this lifter: thirds made above or below expectation, in percentage points per third. Grey bands are where the middle half and middle 80% of all 179,905 lifters sit for that many thirds. Between the coloured lines is what luck alone produces 95% of the time for a typical lifter: wide for a few thirds, narrow for dozens. The dot’s colour uses this lifter’s own thirds, as in the All lifts bar, so right at a line the two can differ.

Expected is each third’s population make rate for that lift, its jump over the second attempt in whole percent, and whether the second was made. The surplus in words is shrunk toward zero by how much lifters really differ, so a few lucky thirds count for little; shrunk this way, a surplus before 2023 carried over to thirds since.

Share of attempts made, with a 95% interval, from 5 meets with recorded attempts. The comparison is every attempt by women whose best score was 110 or more. A high rate can mean careful attempt selection as much as reliability; the rates above do not separate the two, the third-attempt comparison allows for the jump taken.

Lift balance

Squat 65%Bench 55%Deadlift 70%

Squat / bench / deadlift 38 / 20 / 42 at the last full-power meet (12 Jun 2026). Women of this bodyweight and total typically split 35 / 23 / 42.

Closer to typical than 36% of women.

The dot is this lifter; the violet ring is the typical split for their sex, bodyweight and total, which we computed. Each corner is the most that lift’s share reaches in this zoomed triangle.

Every attempt

Squat
Bench
Deadlift

31 of 39 attempts made across 5 meets. White is a good lift, red a miss, outlined an attempt whose outcome was not recorded. Oldest meet on the left.

Meets

DateMeetBodyweightTotalScore
12 Jun 2026Alberta Powerlifting Union Provincials46.0 kg435.0 kg123.11
14 Mar 2026Nationals45.1 kg427.5 kg123.54
5 Oct 2025Western Canadian Powerlifting Championships49.0 kg415.0 kg110.58
15 Jun 2025Alberta Powerlifting Union Provincial Championships48.1 kg385.0 kg104.30
29 Mar 2025Grit Power Spring Open46.1 kg366.0 kg103.35