Asymptote
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Elliott Sykes

USA · 83 kg class · 9 meets since 2021

Best lifts

Squat
322.5
Bench
197.5
Deadlift
332.5

One side of a 20 kg bar, every disc drawn and coloured by weight, with the collar outermost. Career bests, which may come from different meets.

Peak

Score
125.61

top 0.01% of scores that year

Heaviest total
852.5 kg

Independent of the score above, and possibly a different meet.

Career

On the strength landscape

What comparable lifters went on to do

Within 3 years: No comparable group exists. The closest 49 athletes span ages 20-31 and scores 105.0-122.0, which is too wide to call a comparison. Refused for the same reason within 1, 2, 5 and 8 years.

Competing again

  • Within 1 year85%
  • Within 2 years92%
  • Within 3 years93%

The chance of another result, from how lifters in the same situation went on: results so far, time since the last one, age and score. It says nothing about this lifter’s own plans. As of 7 Sept 2026, from a last result on 30 Aug 2026.

Made the same way at the start of 2023 and checked a year later, the forecast ranked who came back well: a returner had the higher chance 85% of the time. Its level was off by 6 points on average — for the least likely tenth it said 5% and 2% came back; for the most likely it said 66% and 77% did.

Attempts

AttemptSquatBenchDeadliftAll lifts
First
100%
9 of 9 · 70%–100%
too few attempts to compare
89%
8 of 9 · 56%–98%
too few attempts to compare
100%
9 of 9 · 70%–100%
too few attempts to compare
96%
26 of 27 · 82%–99%
comparison 95%
Second
78%
7 of 9 · 45%–94%
too few attempts to compare
100%
9 of 9 · 70%–100%
too few attempts to compare
67%
6 of 9 · 35%–88%
too few attempts to compare
81%
22 of 27 · 63%–92%
comparison 87%
Third
78%
7 of 9 · 45%–94%
too few attempts to compare
67%
6 of 9 · 35%–88%
too few attempts to compare
44%
4 of 9 · 19%–73%
too few attempts to compare
63%
17 of 27 · 44%–78%
comparison 63%

Openers, as a share of the heaviest attempt made that day (median over meets):

  • Squat 91% · comparison 93% · 9 meets
  • Bench 91% · comparison 94% · 9 meets
  • Deadlift 94% · comparison 93% · 9 meets

Third attempts, against lifters who took the same jump:

  • Squat7/9
  • Bench6/9
  • Deadlift4/9
  • All lifts17/27

● share made · | expected for the jumps taken · box: the exact range luck alone gives 95% of the time. Violet is above that, red below.

Overall: 17 of 27 made, 15.8 expected. Best estimate once luck is allowed for: about 0.6 more than expected.

−40−200+20+4013103060+third attempts takenmade vs expected (% pts)better than luck explainsworse than luck explains+4 pts · 27 thirds
The ringed dot is this lifter: thirds made above or below expectation, in percentage points per third. Grey bands are where the middle half and middle 80% of all 179,905 lifters sit for that many thirds. Between the coloured lines is what luck alone produces 95% of the time for a typical lifter: wide for a few thirds, narrow for dozens. The dot’s colour uses this lifter’s own thirds, as in the All lifts bar, so right at a line the two can differ.

Expected is each third’s population make rate for that lift, its jump over the second attempt in whole percent, and whether the second was made. The surplus in words is shrunk toward zero by how much lifters really differ, so a few lucky thirds count for little; shrunk this way, a surplus before 2023 carried over to thirds since.

Share of attempts made, with a 95% interval, from 9 meets with recorded attempts. The comparison is every attempt by men whose best score was 110 or more. A high rate can mean careful attempt selection as much as reliability; the rates above do not separate the two, the third-attempt comparison allows for the jump taken.

Lift balance

Squat 65%Bench 55%Deadlift 70%

Squat / bench / deadlift 37 / 24 / 39 at the last full-power meet (30 Aug 2026). Men of this bodyweight and total typically split 36 / 24 / 40.

Closer to typical than 92% of men.

The dot is this lifter; the violet ring is the typical split for their sex, bodyweight and total, which we computed. Each corner is the most that lift’s share reaches in this zoomed triangle.

Every attempt

Squat
Bench
Deadlift

65 of 81 attempts made across 9 meets. White is a good lift, red a miss, outlined an attempt whose outcome was not recorded. Oldest meet on the left.

Meets

DateMeetBodyweightTotalScore
30 Aug 2026Rising Tide75.5 kg832.5 kg120.96
5 Mar 2026Open Nationals73.5 kg852.5 kg125.61
25 Aug 2025World Junior and Sub-Juniors Powerlifting Championships73.5 kg815.0 kg120.08
28 May 2025Classic and Equipped Age Division Nationals73.7 kg800.5 kg117.74
18 Jan 2025Winter Classic72.4 kg760.0 kg112.85
28 Aug 2024World Junior and Sub-Juniors Powerlifting Championships72.7 kg766.0 kg113.50
19 Apr 2024High School National Championship70.5 kg725.0 kg109.12
20 Jan 2024Winter Classic II71.7 kg695.0 kg103.72
12 Sept 2021September Smash62.7 kg500.0 kg80.09